HeartDoc Andrew wrote:
> Michael Ejercito wrote:
>> HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
>>> Michael Ejercito wrote:
>>>
>>>> https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkepticism/comments/1caolm0/the_rise_in_suicide_suicide_rates_are_now_the/
>>>>
>>>> The rise in suicide
>>>> Suicide rates are now the highest they have been in England for 25 years.
>>>>
>>>> LAURA DODSWORTH
>>>> APR 20, 2024
>>>>
>>>> Suicide rates are now the highest they have been in England for 25 years.
>>>>
>>>> The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has released the latest report
>>>> of quarterly suicide death registrations in England for Quarter 4
>>>> (October to December) of 2023. Unfortunately, it shows a 6% rise, which
>>>> is the highest national rate of suicides since 1999. There were 1,439
>>>> suicides registered in Quarter 4, equivalent to 11.4 suicide deaths per
>>>> 100,000 people. Overall there were 5,579 suicides registered in England,
>>>> which is significantly higher than 2021 and 2020.
>>>>
>>>> It’s difficult to attribute causes to individual suicides, as well as
>>>> trends. While it is important to to be responsible and circumspect when
>>>> speculating, this notable and recent upshift in suicide deaths should be
>>>> analysed and monitored.
>>>>
>>>> Share
>>>>
>>>> The ONS figures need to be interpreted with some caution because there
>>>> is a delay in coronial inquests, meaning that only 39.3% of the deaths
>>>> registered in 2023 had a date of death in the same year, and some of the
>>>> deaths occurred in 2022 and 2021. Crucially, this means that we should
>>>> be cautious about making conclusions for 2023 at the moment as there
>>>> will still be a large number of suicides that occurred in 2023 which
>>>> have not yet been registered.
>>>>
>>>> So what might have caused the trend? Professor Louis Appleby who chairs
>>>> the National Suicide Prevention Strategy Advisory Group has commented on
>>>> the uptick in suicides on Twitter. He suggested that the likeliest cause
>>>> is the economic downturn and cost of living crisis. Historically
>>>> recessions cause suicide rates to increase. The North East, North West
>>>> and East of England have seen the most significant increases in suicide,
>>>> but the North East, Midlands and London are actually the three regions
>>>> with the highest levels of poverty, so this theory does not necessarily
>>>> tally up neatly. The significant jump in the North West specifically
>>>> might indicate a change in the way deaths have been recorded. The
>>>> economic effect Appleby proposes would also not easily explain that the
>>>> increase for women was greatest in the over 60s.
>>>>
>>>> Could there be another factor? Appleby has zoned in on the economy for
>>>> obvious and sound reasons, but has so far ignored a key factor.
>>>>
>>>> In April 2021, Professor Appleby was the Lead Author of the report
>>>> ‘Suicide in England in the COVID-19 pandemic: Early observational data
>>> >from real time surveillance’, analysing ’real time surveillance’ (RTS)
>>>> of suspected suicides during the pandemic and lockdowns. Despite greater
>>>> distress, the study did not find evidence of an increase in suicide
>>>> rates. Ensuing ONS month by month data for 2020 and 2021 also showed no
>>>> increase in suicides.
>>>>
>>>> There was a vital caveat which needed to applied to this data which,
>>>> although present within the ONS report, wasn’t given much weight by
>>>> people who endorsed the findings: it was too early to be sure. Suicide
>>>> is a verdict given by a coronial court, and does not operate in ‘real
>>>> time’. Some courts were running almost a year behind on case load during
>>>> the pandemic. This was not something to be ignored in favour of real
>>>> time data — the coronial verdict is not simply a rubber stamping
>>>> process. Analysis based on real time surveillance might have delivered a
>>>> reassuring answer at the time to people who wanted to believe that the
>>>> pandemic, lockdowns and other distressing NPIs didn’t ultimately lead to
>>>> the most tragic consequences, but it was too soon to deliver a verdict.
>>>>
>>>> Indeed, Appleby’s tweet thread on 12th April 2023, just over a year ago,
>>>> was confident in its assumptions:
>>>>
>>>> ‘New @ONS data give us, for first time, national suicide rates month by
>>>> month for Covid years 2020 & 2021, compared to earlier years. Graph
>>>> shows no rise in these years overall, or any month, or any period of
>>>> pandemic, including lockdown.
>>>>
>>>> What can we learn from this?
>>>>
>>>> It may tell us something about the protective power of social cohesion,
>>>> of looking out for each other, of community, with its message of
>>>> acceptance & concern.
>>>>
>>>> If so, we need to hang on to it. It hasn’t looked in strong supply lately.
>>>>
>>>> It may confirm something we saw after the 2008 recession, the
>>>> life-saving impact of economic support - for people on benefits or in
>>>> debt or fearing for their jobs & homes.
>>>>
>>>> Particularly important as we head further into the cost of living crisis.
>>>>
>>>> It reminds us to look at the evidence, no matter what the headlines claim.
>>>>
>>>> Or the Twitter “likes”.
>>>>
>>>> Or the academics who should know better.
>>>>
>>>> Or the current attempt at revisionism in the media.'
>>>>
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>>>> In a National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Safety in Mental
>>>> Health presentation, Appleby suggested a number of reasons why suicide
>>>> had not increased. Despite the obvious anxiety about Covid-19, the tough
>>>> lockdowns, economic ramifications and huge societal changes, he believed
>>>> people were protected due to a combination of:
>>>>
>>>> economic protections;
>>>>
>>>> a supposed increase in social cohesion;
>>>>
>>>> increased vigilance and support from family, friends and neighbours;
>>>>
>>>> reduced access to certain methods of suicide;
>>>>
>>>> a sense of short-term crisis.
>>>>
>>>> These could well have prevented the rise in suicide at the time, but
>>>> conclusions from previous analyses of other disasters warn that the rise
>>>> in suicide does not occur during the disaster, but afterwards. The lack
>>>> of rise in suicides was in keeping with disaster literature. A
>>>> subsequent increase in suicide - as we see happening now - is also in
>>>> keeping with disaster literature.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> In the early psychological phases of disaster — ‘heroic’ and ‘honeymoon’
>>>> — you would not expect to see more suicides. They come afterwards. In
>>>> the case of a ‘slow disaster’ like Covid-19, this could be some time
>>>> afterwards.
>>>>
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>>>>
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>>>> At the time, Professor Lucy Easthope, the country’s leading authority on
>>>> disaster and recovery, commented that the real time surveillance data
>>>> was very useful, but that more attention should be given to the role of
>>>> the coronial process as well as the underreporting of possible suicides
>>>> which can be recorded as either an open verdict or crucially a narrative
>>>> verdict which allows the coroner to expand on the additional factors
>>>> that led to death. Ultimately, she concluded, real time death data could
>>>> be unreliable.
>>>>
>>>> She is now concerned now that ‘post-disaster conditions that may promote
>>>> hopelessness are all increased, including economic instability, domestic
>>>> violence, depression and alcohol use’ and that ‘we appear to have
>>>> incubated a real sense of nihilism and hopelessness in younger people’.
>>>>
>>>> It’s a frustrating stage of the Covid-19 saga. Warnings at the time were
>>>> ignored and it is painful for experts such as Easthope to observe the
>>>> impact on the public of chronic disaster and delayed support for
>>>> physical and mental health, not to mention the toll on response workers
>>>> who ‘tend to feel let down and morally injured by the state’.
>>>>
>>>> ‘It’s particularly important to consider long-term suicide when risk
>>>> assessing economic policies,’ says Easthope. ‘Things like furlough
>>>> schemes have positives but also come with substantial emotional
>>>> negatives such as future redundancy, effects on self-worth, esteem and
>>>> purpose. All disaster decisions come with negatives, there are no purely
>>>> perfect answers. Discussion of the negatives was not welcomed and people
>>>> like me were seen as pessimistic if we raised suicide as a result of
>>>> Cabinet or Treasury decisions. It was very hard to get traction in 2020
>>>> and 2021 with these concerns.’
>>>>
>>>> Whether suicide rates go up or go down, they are preventable and they
>>>> are always too high. It’s a tragedy for suicide rates to be the highest
>>>> in England for 25 years. If the pandemic and the never-before-used
>>>> lockdowns turn out to be a factor in this devastating trend, we could
>>>> well see the rates rise further.
>>>>
>>>> Share
>>>>
>>>> According to the Samaritans one in five of us have experienced suicidal
>>>> thoughts. If you’re going through a tough time, you don’t have to face
>>>> it alone. Call Samaritans day or night on 116 123. Email jo@samaritans.org.
>>>
>>> In the interim, we are 100% prepared/protected in the "full armor of
>>> GOD" (Ephesians 6:11) which we put on as soon as we use Apostle Paul's
>>> secret (Philippians 4:12). Though masking is less protective, it helps
>>> us avoid the appearance of doing the evil of spreading airborne
>>> pathogens while there are people getting sick because of not being
>>> 100% protected. It is written that we're to "abstain from **all**
>>> appearance of doing evil" (1 Thessalonians 5:22 w/**emphasis**).
>>>
>>> Meanwhile, the only *perfect* (Matt 5:47-8 ) way to eradicate the
>>> COVID-19 virus, thereby saving lives, in the UK & elsewhere is by
>>> rapidly (i.e. use the "Rapid COVID-19 Test" ) finding out at any given
>>> moment, including even while on-line, who among us are unwittingly
>>> contagious (i.e pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic) in order to
>>> "convince it forward" (John 15:12) for them to call their doctor and
>>> self-quarantine per their doctor in hopes of stopping this pandemic.
>>> Thus, we're hoping for the best while preparing for the worse-case
>>> scenario of the Alpha lineage mutations and others like the Omicron,
>>> Gamma, Beta, Epsilon, Iota, Lambda, Mu & Delta lineage mutations
>>> combining via slip-RNA-replication to form hybrids like "Deltamicron"
>>> that may render current COVID vaccines/monoclonals/medicines/pills no
>>> longer effective.
>>>
>>> Indeed, I am wonderfully hungry (
>>> https://groups.google.com/g/sci.med.cardiology/c/6ZoE95d-VKc/m/14vVZoyOBgAJ
>>> ) and hope you, Michael, also have a healthy appetite too.
>>>
>>> So how are you ?
>>
>> I am wonderfully hungry!
>
> While wonderfully hungry in the Holy Spirit, Who causes (Deuteronomy
> 8:3) us to hunger, I note that you, Michael, are rapture ready (Luke
> 17:37 means no COVID just as eagles circling over their food have no
> COVID) and pray (2 Chronicles 7:14) that our Everlasting (Isaiah 9:6)
> Father in Heaven continues to give us "much more" (Luke 11:13) Holy
> Spirit (Galatians 5:22-23) so that we'd have much more of His Help to
> always say/write that we're "wonderfully hungry" in **all** ways
> including especially caring to "convince it forward" (John 15:12) with
> all glory (Psalm112:1) to GOD (aka HaShem, Elohim, Abba, DEO), in
> the name (John 16:23) of LORD Jesus Christ of Nazareth. Amen.
>
> Laus DEO !
Thank you for noting that I have no COVID.